ADVANCED ECONOMETRICS I
(TIME SERIES ANALYSIS)

Ph.D. in ECONOMICS

Syllabus
Course Project
Introduction
Nexus (from McFadden 2000
Graphical-Examples
HMW I (due October 21
Reading 1 (Ergodicity)
(from Breiman (1969) "Probability and Stochastic Processes: With a View Toward Applications")
Arma Models
Nexus I
Nexus II  (notes of Guido Kuersteiner MIT
Applets for Arma processes Reading 2 ( Identification of Arma models) (Hannan (79))
Forecasting I,
Forecasting II
Notes in Class (from Granger-Newbold (1976)
Nexus(notes of Herman Bierens)
Forecasting with E-views HMWII (due November 6th Reading 3 (Forecast Evaluation) (Diebold & Lopez, 1995)
Estimation and Inference
Model Selection (notes in class)
Nexus (notes of Guido Kuersteiner MIT)
  Reading 3A (Phillips & Solo, 1992)
The Land of Unit Roots
Graphs1
Graphs2
Nexus(Notes of Herman Bierens on Unit Roots)
Applets on:
Brownian Motion I
Brownian Motion II
Brownian Motion III
Brownian Motion IV
HMWIII (due November 27th)      
Reading 4 (D.S. Pollock on Trends)
Reading 5 (Handbook of Econometrics, Jim Stock)
VAR Models
Nexus I (notes of Chris Sims on  VARs
Nexus II (notes of Guido Kuersteiner on VARs
VAR Models with E-Views Reading 6 (VAR notes by Mark Watson)
Reading 7 (Structural VAR notes by Eric Zivot)
Spurious Regression and Cointegration
Nexus I (Handbook of Econometrics, Mark Watson)

Nexus II (Journal of Econometrics, Jesús Gonzalo)


Examples of Spurious Regression
Reading 8 (Spurious Regression in Finance)
Reading 9 (Spurious Regression with I(0))
Cointegration and Common Factors
+
Class-notes

Nexus  (JBES 1995, jesús gonmzalo and Clive Granger)
 

Cointegration-Examples
(Andrew Buck- Temple University)
Cointegration with E-Views
Reading 10 (Cointegration by Dolado, Gonzalo and Marmol)